An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
ENSO diagnostics indicate La Niña conditions exist in the EquatorialPacific Ocean. Many dynamical and statistical climate models suggest
La Nina will continue to persist at least moderate strength through summer.
Tropical cyclone forecast for 2011 -12 season
The tropical Pacific is currently in a moderate La Niñastate, with atmospheric indicators having intensified the last month.
Below normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is likely for most islands west of the International Date Line in the southwest Pacific during the November 2011 – April 2012 season...
A La Niña pattern exists in the ensemble of globalclimate forecasts.
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data
